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The Reason Silver Has Been Rising Faster Than Gold
April30 , 2011
Issue 92
Today's Gold/Silver Ratio: 32/1 (same)

Issue 106

Gold: $1513.50/ Silver: $46.86

SGS Notes: The crazy ride continued this week…the week began Monay with a sharp rise from $46.86 to$47.88, then Tuesday spike up into the high $49s… closely pressing the $50 threshhold…then back down by end of day to just over $45. By Wednesday night, the price was back to the mid $48 level, continuing strongly in that range until close of week Friday night. The ratio has remained constant at 32/1… but we've also seen Gold do a huge $58 spike this week. The dollar went to 73.2 in the wake of the S&P downgrading the US credit rating down to C - lower than Mexico… We've had several inquiries this week about whether silver is still a good buy at $50+… This week's newsletter will be addressing that…

Psst! Letting you in on a little 'secret'… if you watch our Facebook page for SGS, (see link at right) you will see a flurry of activity of postings on Fri/Sat … this is because we post a lot of articles and links that we come across while preparing for the Newsletter, but 'reject' for newsletter publication… lots more extra stuff there, folks!

The Reason Silver Has Been Rising Faster Than Gold
Analysis of the different advance which has occurred in the silver price vis-à-vis gold in the past few months where the former has substantially outperformed the latter.
Author: Julian Phillips, MineWeb

Silver is breaking new records at around $40 and gold is touching new highs of close to $1,460. Looking back, over the past few years we have seen gold rise from around $312 to $1,460 a rise of 4.68 times and silver from around $6 to $40 a rise of 6.67 times.

But this does not give a clear picture, so we went back over the last year and what did we see? Since early 2009, gold has moved from $900 to $1,460, a respectable 62%. Over the same period silver has moved from $10 to nearly $40 a remarkable 400%. Why the difference in relative performance?

Both metals have moved as money. Gold and silver Exchange Traded Funds have attracted massive investments in the developed world where trust in the monetary system is far higher than it is in the emerging world. But it was the underlying gold and silver that attracted investors. Waning confidence in the value of paper currencies gave way to demand for precious metals as a store of value retainers for investors.

Gold and silver have substantial differences as value retainers which help us to identify why the two metals have differed so much in performance.

Gold is and has always been the 'senior' monetary metal held by Central Banks as money until 1971 and after that as a valuable reserve asset in the vaults of central banks.
Silver was rejected as money and as a reserve asset by the mid-fifties, despite it being treated as money throughout the ages before that.

Both gold and silver have been attacked as money through 'official' sales from the seventies until last year. But gold was sold to undermine the reality that it is money. Silver was sold out from reserves almost completely by central banks discarding it as money, completely.

Apart from a brief period when Egypt was at its height and supplies of silver less than those of gold, gold has always been in far shorter supply than silver and considered far more valuable than silver.

Silver in the past few decades has been seen as a commodity, mined mainly as a by-product of base metal mining, with only 30% mined in a pure silver mine.

Most silver is consumed whereas gold is not, which will continue to be the case until less expensive substitutes are found. This will only happen at far higher prices still.

GOLD AS AN INVESTMENT

Gold has always been the precious metal of choice for wealthy individuals, institutions and central banks. It has never been abandoned as such. Even when "Official" selling was at its peak, central banks sold only what they thought was sufficient to add credibility to the paper currency they were pushing to the centre of the system, first to add credibility to the dollar then after 1999 to the euro. With those tasks completed, Central Banks are now either holders or buyers of gold.

The amount sold in most cases was around 20%, but in the case of the uninspired then-Chancellor Brown of the U.K.'s case, half of Britain's reserves were sold. The largest holders of gold sold none or only small amounts. So while it was underpriced and we believe still is, did not see its price 'crushed' completely.

The path back to investment acceptance is a slow one and a long one with most of the journey still to come. We believe that we are on the brink of major changes in price levels in 2011 and beyond.

SILVER AS AN INVESTMENT

Silver had not really been an investment metal until 2004 and not a significant one until 2009.

It was a commodity metal in so short a supply that the Hunt brothers of Texas felt they could corner the market. In 1979, they took the silver price from its high of $8 an ounce [it had doubled since it stood at $4 an ounce in the mid- 1970s' already] to $50 an ounce by the early 1980's. It then fell all the way back to $5 an ounce thereafter as the Hunt Brothers found they were unable to sell the silver until prices had fallen back to those levels where they stayed until October 2003. Until 2009, it was relegated to the sidelines as an investment metal.

It started to regain popularity as an investment metal because it began to be considered as "poor man's gold" as the gold price rose out of reach of the poorer investment classes.

For instance, in India until its middle classes began to grow substantially, 70% of all gold bought was bought by the agricultural sector, whose income was directly related to the quality of the monsoon rains. When profits were good, they found their way into property and into gold, As the price rose, the quantity of gold available to such people fell. Then $1,500 bought five ounces of gold, but with gold at $1,460, it only buys just over 1 ounce of gold.

In India, precious metals are used in commercial transactions so the divisibility of silver relative to gold was far greater and more flexible. It also remained affordable in larger quantities. After all, now one ounce of gold buys 36.5 ounces of silver. So, silver remains affordable far lower down the economic ladder than gold does. It therefore can attract a far wider market than gold does currently at retail levels. Bearing in mind that precious metals are attracting a huge and growing market in the emerging parts of the world, the demand, as a wealth protector, at the retail end of the market is expanding rapidly.

CATCH-UP

It would therefore be wrong to still categorize silver as a monetary metal. Its day will come, but not until its price is much higher and not until paper currencies have lost considerably more credibility than at present.

The most difficult part of silver's rise as a wealth protector has been from October 2004 to October 2008, from when its price moved from $5 an ounce to a peak of over $20 an ounce then to fall back to than less $10 an ounce before taking off on its current path. The fall coincided with the onset of the 'credit-crunch.

All the while, demand from the photographic sector has waned. More importantly, the uses of silver have morphed from discretionary demand to a need. Even in a downturn, the demand for silver will remain strong as its uses are considered vital now.

So as a non-monetary, more volatile precious metal, its future then was far cloudier than now. The transition from those days to 'poor man's gold was its re-birth as an investment metal. While we believe it has now returned as such to stay, it still has a lot of catching up to do. By catching up we mean that it still has to return to the concept fully, that it is a lower category investment metal respected from institutions [eventually by central banks] as well as the retail end of the market.

Gold is already at that point. This does not mean that the gold price has reached a ceiling of any kind. It does mean that the gold price will rise relative to the value of currencies from now on with its metallic qualities being far in the background. Silver is still a long way off from that point.

Julian Phillips is a long time specialist analyst for gold and silver and is the principal contributor to the Gold Forecaster - www.goldforecaster.com - and Silver Forecaster- www.silverforecaster.com - websites and newsletters

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A Few Notes...      

 

Some things we are seeing as the market demand is increasing…and things which have an impact on our customers…

  • Longer wait times for our inventory orders

  • Higher Premiums, especially for Silver Eagles

  • Product sell-out (from our suppliers)
Rest assured, however, that we are doing our utmost to get products out the door to YOU and will continue to provide you with the best service possible.
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The Bullion Report - Your Money is No Good Here
April 22 , 2011
Issue 92
Today's Gold/Silver Ratio: 32/1

Issue 105

Gold: $1513.50/ Silver: $46.86

SGS Notes: Whew! This week was a wild ride. (Did you notice the big drop in the ratio again?) I'm going to share a lot of info in the newsletter this week. As usual, the experts and economic advisors have been prolific in their writing the past 2 weeks. The S&P downgrading of the US credit rating was a HUGE factor in the numbers we're seeing. So read what you can now, bear with me, and stash this away for digesting the rest of the information as you are able. Let the dust settle a little this weekend and celebrate the MOST momentous occasion in history.

Your Money's No Good Here
Richard Zimmerman, Berkshire Asset Management

Fear premium seems like an understatement following the Standard and Poor's downgraded outlook for US debt. Markets reacted in kind, with and the threat of losing a AAA rating brought another round of potential haven seekers to gold and silver. What is it about the rating that is so special, and why should this change anything?

Let's get one thing clear - there were a few stories that reported the US' credit rating was lowered from neutral to negative. The Ratings Service actually lowered their outlook for US debt. The reasoning? They lack confidence that Washington will get the federal deficit under control in the next two years or so. The long term outlook suggests that there is a roughly 30 percent likelihood that the US will lose its current investment rating. That rating was actually reaffirmed in yesterday's Standard and Poor's release, but with paragraph after paragraph of concerns over the future growth and expenses for this western superpower.

The AAA rating is endangered by what the Standard and Poor's views as "very large budget deficits and rising government indebtedness and the path to addressing these is not clear to us" - exactly the kinds of things that have been moving more than a little investment in precious metals. Unlike the US dollar, I have often reiterated that gold and silver are difficult to manipulate with changes in policy. However, the key issue here is the cracks in the foundation.

Since the start of the global recession, it was not uncommon to hear that a country was in trouble on the credit front. Greece, Portugal, Spain, Ireland - there is no shortage of areas of potential weakness. The thing is - it seemed a lot less dire when it was somewhere else. The idea that the Euro zone would have a country or two with fiscal weakness is one thing, but an industrialized nation of this size? The US is practically the backbone of a global economy, and one of the largest single economies in the framework of the world.

Perhaps it is more unsettling because of the scope of foreign investment in the United States. As of February 2011, China held over $1 trillion in US treasuries. Japan had a cool $890 billion. The United Kingdom and other nations held more modest levels, around $200 billion or so, for a grand total of $4,474,300,000. (1) Of course, Japan's finance minister was quick to state that US treasuries remained attractive, despite the warning against the US. China was less magnanimous. Their foreign ministry urged policy makers in Washington to move to protect investors in their debt. Besides debt obligations, foreign governments are probably eyeing their ample US dollar reserves. While it is anyone's guess how much of China's foreign currency reserves are dollar denominated, it cannot be comfortable on any level to see the recent troubles in the US devalue the currency. Uncertainty in the future of the US and the overall perceived risk of default has as much of a chance to drive investors from the US dollar and into other assets.

The Treasury Department's projection is that the debt-ceiling is within reach, to be breached as early as May. Default could come as early as this summer.

Summary

The US is unlikely to see the kind of real growth that the situation requires to sort out its massive deficit. Right now, the economic crisis has pared growth, and playing an eternal shell game with the fiscal deficit doesn't seem close to over. The diminished outlook in a superpower like the United States is enough to rattle even the most stalwart investor's cage. That means the chance for more investor uncertainty, and that usually means fresh highs in precious metals. The threat from Standard and Poor's was a surprise to a lot of people. Everyone seems to be aware that things are not perfect, and that public finances are relatively tattered. The short term key will be how people feel this credit ruin stands up to global counterparts. If the US is viewed as the 'best of the worst' as it were, this initial gain in gold and silver will likely be met with some pressure. If all it does is create talking points ahead of re-election promises then people are less likely to assuaged, and that means a harder currency than a feeble buck.

1. http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/mfh.txt

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Yes, we like Ayn Rand, Atlas Shrugged… which, by the way is out in theaters…We saw it last week, Part 1. Check it out here: http://www.atlasshruggedpart1.com/
Just picked up a copy of the book at Costco to re-read.

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Why Increased Demand for Silver Will Have a Leveraged Effect on Its Price ~ Jeff Clark, BIG GOLD
February 18, 2011
Issue 92
Today's Gold/Silver Ratio: 42.5/1

Issue 96

Gold: 1389.10 / Silver: $32.66

Why Increased Demand for Silver Will Have a Leveraged Effect on Its Price
Jeff Clark, BIG GOLD

How Much More Demand Can Silver Handle?

The numbers for silver demand are starting to make some market-watchers nervous. The U.S. Mint sold over 6.4 million silver Eagles in January, more than any other month since the coin's introduction in 1986. China's net imports of silver quadrupled in 2010, to 122.6 million ounces, roughly 13.7% of global production. Meanwhile, mine production can't meet worldwide demand; the only way demand gets fulfilled is from scrap supply.

That is some very hungry demand. Which raises the question, how long can this pace continue?

This is important for various reasons, starting with how demand contributes to price. If demand falls off, our investments could, too.

While I've discussed the concern regarding the lack of supply before, which has its own implications for the silver market, let's focus on investment demand. Frankly, is there room for it to continue to grow? After all, how long can investors continue to set records?

There are a number of ways to measure this - the amount of money available to invest, its percent of total financial assets, its contrast to demand in the last bull market, etc. - but I think the bottom line to answering the question is to compare the biggest silver investments to some popular equities. If they rival that of the stocks we always see on the news and analysts constantly talk about and every fund manager wants to own, then it might be reasonable to assume demand could be nearing its pinnacle.

So how do the world's largest silver ETF and one of the biggest silver producers compare to the more fashionable equities?

The largest silver ETF, iShares Silver Trust, has net assets of $9.6 billion (as of February 4). This pales in comparison to the more popular stocks trading in the U.S. In fact, SLV has roughly 3% the market cap of Apple. It would have to grow over 43 times to match Exxon Mobil.

Pan American Silver, the largest pure silver producer trading on a major U.S. exchange, has a market cap of $3.72 billion. This is 4.7% the size of McDonald's. The market cap would have to increase more than 53 times to match Walmart. It is over 62 times smaller than Microsoft.

This isn't to suggest SLV and PAAS will match the market cap of these other companies, but clearly the masses are still demanding much more of them than the biggest of silver's investment vehicles.

So how much more demand can silver handle? As much as it takes to make it the household name I'm convinced it will be before this is all over. When SLV is a favorite of fund managers. When Silver Wheaton is a market darling of the masses. When Pan American is Wall Street's top pick for the year.

Imagine what those bars on the right will look like when most everyone you know is talking about poor man's gold. The rise could be breathtaking.

Remember that silver rose over 3,646% from trough to peak in the last precious metals bull market; it's up about 630% in our current run. A return matching the 1970s advance would push the price to $152. This price level is further supported by the fact that this is about where it would be when inflation-adjusted for its 1980 peak.

When you look at the potential growth in market cap of the world's biggest silver investments, it becomes easy to view any downdraft in price as nothing but a buying opportunity. I know I do.

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"If workers struggle for higher wages, this is hailed as 'social gains,' if businessmen struggle for higher profits, this is damned as 'selfish greed.'"

-Ayn Rand  

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Other Tests for Silver

1. Weight - 1 oz of pure .999 silver should weigh 31.1 grams

2. Sound - Pure silver has a 'ring' to it when you strike it with another metal object, or drop a handful of coins together

3. Dimensions: a Silver American Eagle should be 40.6 mm in diameter and be 2.9mm thick.

4. Magnet: If there's iron in the item, a magnet will be drawn to it. A magnet will not be drawn to silver.

5. Tarnish: Pure silver will tarnish over time, especially if you handle it. Sometimes it will get 'milky' spots on it.

6. Use an acid test kit - 'Google'
'precious metals test kit' to find a vendor.

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The Rarest Earth ~ Ted Butler
February 11, 2011
Issue 92
Today's Gold/Silver Ratio: 45/1
Issue 95

The Rarest Earth
Ted Butler

Those who keep up with business news will have no doubt read about the recent developments in the category of minerals known as rare earth elements (REE's). These are minerals that are vital to modern industrial applications, ranging from lasers, batteries, alternative energy, and superconductors to all sorts of important high-tech applications. There are 17 minerals classified as REE's with exotic names like scandium, yttrium, lanthanum, cerium, and praseodymium. Don't worry, this is not a technical discussion and this will probably be the only time I write about rare earth elements.

Actually, these minerals are not all that rare, in the strictest sense of the word. Many are quite abundant in the earth's crust. What makes them rare is that they are generally not concentrated in ore bodies offering economically feasible extraction. The first rare earth mineral was discovered around 1800, in a village in Sweden named Ytterby, and several REE's are named after that village. Up until about 1950, most rare earth production came from India and Brazil. In the 50's, South Africa was a big producer, then California took the lead from 1960 through the 1980's. Then, China came to be the dominant producer by far, and currently produces 97% of world production.

Due to booming world demand, production has strained to keep pace. This was recently exacerbated by China's new export restrictions, due to falling ore reserves and environmental concerns. This sent the price of rare earth elements soaring by hundreds of percent, prompting a world-wide effort to ramp up production. However, you just don't flip a light switch and begin new mine production. It can take years to develop a mine and begin production. In the meantime, industrial consumers must compete for available supplies by bidding up the price. This is the essence of the law of supply and demand.

Since I'm not a REE expert why am I writing about them? The answer has to do with silver. Silver shares many characteristics with the rare earth elements and there is a lot to learn from them in our analysis of silver. In fact, the purpose of this article is to make the case that silver is the rarest of all the rare earth elements.

One of the common characteristics between silver and the rare earth elements is that many REE's are mined in conjunction with other minerals, the same as silver with its by-product mining profile. Mining for both tends to concentrate on the easiest to exploit properties first. Consequently, the remaining properties tend to be lower-grade and more expensive and difficult to develop. Both silver and REE's have seen the emergence of China as the chief producer of each. (In the case of silver, the production reliance includes the processing of scrap material not mined in that country.) Silver production from China is nowhere near 97% of world production, as it is in the rare earth elements, but it still is significant. Environmental issues and restrictions inhibit the production of both silver and the REE's. And with both, higher prices don't automatically guarantee immediate new production. For instance, last year on an 80% increase in silver price, the mine production of Peru (the world's largest miner) declined 7% or 12 million ounces. That's a million silver ounces less per month than from a year earlier. Recently, the price of REE's skyrocketed, due to China's sharply curtailed exports. Should any major silver producing country sharply restrict the export of silver, the price would soar.

Read The Rest of the Article ...

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On checkout, simply select the 1) Offline Payment option, and 2) tell us your preference in the Comments box, 3) then complete authorization form and 4) fax to us at 480-275-3284 (or if you can scan it and eMail it that works to) . If you have set up an automatic monthly order, please just call/email us to change your payment option.

Quote of the Week                               

"The scarce and valuable commodities such as copper, lead, zinc, uranium, gold, silver, platinum, and palladium just to name a few are limited. These are the basic building blocks for all the goods and services we desire in modern society. You can't have a car, a house,
a cell phone, a refrigerator, a simple bar of soap, etc. etc., without them.
"

-Greg McCoach    

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Physical Gold and Silver Supplies Are Tighter Than Reported ~ Patrick A. Heller
January 28, 2011
Issue 92
 
Issue 93

Physical Gold and Silver Supplies Are Tighter Than Reported
By Patrick A. Heller

There are two main markets for trading gold and silver: the London Bullion Market Exchange and the COMEX in New York. London by far has the higher volume. There are other exchanges elsewhere in the US and around the globe, but large traders tend to buy and sell in these two markets.

The London market is supposed to be for purchasing contracts for delivery of the physical metal at the maturity of the contract. In theory, there is supposed to be enough physical gold and silver in the London vaults to fulfill 100% of the outstanding contracts. This has not been true for some time. At the Commodity Futures Trading Commission March 25, 2010 hearings on gold and silver regulations, both Jeffrey Christian and Adrian Douglas testified that the London vaults only have enough gold and silver to cover 1-3% of open contracts.

The COMEX, in contrast, is more meant for the trading of paper contracts by investors who do not want to take physical delivery (although they can). The COMEX warehouses only have a fraction of the physical gold and silver that would needed if all long positions demanded delivery of physical metal at contract maturity. Realizing this potential problem, the COMEX allows contracts to be settled for cash rather than the commodity. Gold and silver contracts can also now be settled, at the option of the seller of the contract, with shares of exchange traded funds for the same metal.

In normal commodity markets, the price of future contracts trade at higher prices than those maturing this month. The price difference normally reflects the prevailing interest rate minus a bit for the cost of storage. This typical market order is called contango…

Read The Rest of the Article ...

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"If you want to remain slaves of the bankers and pay for the costs of your own slavery, let them continue to create money and control the nation's credit."

- Sir Josiah Stamp [1880-1941]   

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Shock And Awe in Precious Metals ~ Jeff Nielson
December 3, 2010 
Issue 87


SGS Notes: I trust you all had a wonderful Thanksgiving weekend... If you've been following silver and gold pricing since the weekend, you know that there has been a rapid rise in price of both metals... silver is now pushing $30 per ounce spot and gold is almost at $1415 per ounce...

Shock & Awe in Precious Metals
Jeff Nielson
December 1, 2010

Earlier this month, precious metals investors witnessed arguably the most concerted take-down of the precious metals sector since the Crash of ’08. First, investors were lathered-up into a mania, after World Bank head Robert Zoellick planted a piece in the Financial Times where he feigned interest in having a gold standard re-instituted.

Then the ambush took place.

This time, China was clearly participating as the ‘tag-team’ partner of the U.S. government. It began by raising reserve requirements for its banks – a move always seen as restraining the growth of an economy (and reducing commodities demand). Then the Chinese government leaked word that it was “planning interest rate increases” (even more bearish for commodities), all within the span of a couple of days.

What launched the “ambush”, however, was the utterly unprecedented move by the CME Group (owner of the Comex exchange) to radically increase margin requirements for silver halfway through a trading session. Clearly, the intent was to get precious metals investors as over-extended as possible – and then to “drop the hammer” on them at literally the best (i.e. most-damaging) moment.

This was immediately followed by yet another increase in bank reserves by China’s government, mere days after the previous reserve-increase was announced. With the U.S. having already taken radical action to curb commodities markets, it is simply not plausible that the Chinese government suddenly decided that further tightening was necessary. Instead, this was a move purely intended to generate more downside momentum in commodities by China, the world’s largest consumer of those commodities (including precious metals). And when those moves still did not generate the downward momentum desired by these market-manipulators, the CME Group announced yet another reduction of “margin” – this time for both gold and silver.

In previous years, a premeditated, orchestrated take-down of precious metals of this magnitude would derail the market for many weeks, if not months. However, that era is over.

Following the inevitable plunge of these commodities markets (as margin players were driven out), gold and silver quickly bottomed and firmed. This epitomizes the entirely different attitude of precious metals buyers. Whereas before such ambushes would create fear among investors that a “top” had occurred in the market, today all that goes through the minds of investors when precious metals go lower is “gold and silver are on sale!”

Buyers gleefully soaked-up every ounce of cheap bullion which the bullion banks chose to bestow upon them (as an early Christmas present). And now, with the month over, and “delivery” due in the Comex, those buyers are saying “give us our gold and silver.” While the numbers bounce around day-to-day, at present these buyers are wanting to take delivery on a large portion of total, available gold inventories and nearly ¾ of all available silver in Comex inventories.

Though it was the bankster cabal which launched this ‘shock’ on the precious metals market (and precious metals investors), the only ‘awe’ that was experienced was that of the banksters, themselves, as buyers are now holding out their hands and demanding that the bullion banks deliver most of their dwindling supplies of real bullion. Much like pointing a bazooka at someone – and not noticing that you were holding it backwards – this ambush has now blown up in the faces of these bankers.

If these manipulative buffoons had the slightest understanding of these markets, the spectacular failure of their attempt to (once again) “cap” precious metals would have come as no surprise. As I write regularly, anything under-priced (like precious metals) will be over-consumed. Push the price even lower, and inventories will disappear that much quicker.

The example I have used previously is chocolate bars. Price chocolate bars at 10 cents each (which was their price before 40 years of banker-produced inflation destroyed the value of our currency) and store shelves will be quickly stripped bare. Yet in the convoluted fantasy-world of the bullion banks, if they saw store shelves being cleaned-out with chocolate bars at 10 cents apiece, their “strategy” would be to attempt to kill demand by pricing them at 5 cents.

In previous years, the banksters could avoid being punished for their total ignorance of commodity fundamentals. Armed with countless tons of bullion which Western central banks had foolishly leased to them, when the cabal drove down precious metals prices and buyers stepped in to load-up, they would simply drive prices even lower (by dumping yet more bullion onto the market) – until even the most ardent bulls capitulated.


Other Articles of Interest

The Dumping Begins:
Chinese Reserve Managers Notified That Any Non-USG Guaranteed Securities Must Be Divested

Zerohedge

China, Russia Quit Dollar
China Daily

Why Governments Will
Buy Silver

SilverSeek


 


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SGS Volume Discounts

SGS has received several inquiries of late regarding our volume discount program. Our volume discounts apply only to non-numismatic rounds and begin with quantities of 200 ounces or more as follows:

200 -500 oz - $1.00 / oz discount
501 - 1000 oz - $1.50 / oz discount
1001 or more - $2.00 / oz discount

Volume orders will need to be placed by phone at present. We welcome individuals to enlist acquaintances to join them in a group order to take advantage of these discounts.

 

Quote of the Week

“The future prosperity of everyone – including the needy – depends on encouraging persons to become millionaires.”

 

– Dean Williams



 

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This Week's Video

The Day The Dollar Died

By InflationUs

 

 

 

Those days are gone, because the bullion is gone. Today, when bullion prices are driven down, and buyers step in to buy, it is the bullion banks who are now forced to capitulate. Much like a thug who points a revolver at someone – after the sixth shot is fired – the banksters now frighten no one in the precious metals market.

In the case of silver, the only “gun” now pointing at anyone is the gun which the bullion bankers are holding against their own temple (with a “silver bullet” in the chamber). As regular readers know, most of the total global stockpiles of silver (accumulated over roughly 5,000 years) are now gone. Used-up (in tiny amounts) in an infinite number of consumer and industrial goods, that silver can now never be economically recovered – unless/until the price rises to many multiples of the current price. Put another way, with gold now priced at roughly 50 times the price of silver, at some point before silver reaches $1400/oz, it will finally become valuable enough that industrial users will take measures to recover this silver, much like virtually 100% of all gold is recovered/recycled.

At the present time, the only message being sent (by the bankers) to silver’s multitude of industrial users is “silver is cheap”. With the bankers ensuring that silver is grossly under-priced, industrial demand is predictably soaring – up 18% year-over-year.

Readers must realize that these industrial users can obviously never be “frightened off” by cheap silver, but instead will simply increase their buying (as they have done). Having gotten industrial users ‘addicted’ to cheap silver, it is now up to the bullion banks to produce enough real bullion to satisfy the rabid appetite for industrial silver – or face the consequences: their own economic annihilation.

“Short” 100’s of millions of ounces of silver, JP Morgan is already facing $billions in losses on that part of their holdings, alone. However, after squandering their bullion inventories, the banksters turned to the derivatives market to use paper leverage to continue to manipulate prices.

Thanks to the CPM Group’s Jeffrey Christian, we have a rough idea of precisely how leveraged is that short position: about 100:1. So when JP Morgan starts with $billions in losses, and leverages that 100:1, the bottom-line is bankruptcy. And the harder these knuckle-draggers push-down on the market (thinking they are limiting their losses), the sooner the last bar of silver is gone – and with it, JP Morgan.

With available silver now nearly gone, we are very close to (if not already at) the point in time where industrial users make a frantic effort to buy and hoard every ounce of silver that they can lay their hands on, and soaring prices will only make them buy faster. Understand that the pretext of raising margin requirements in the silver market was to restore “order” to that market. Instead, because this move was motivated by corruption and malice rather than market fundamentals, raising margin requirements (and creating a “sale” for silver) is creating much more disorder – and rapidly setting the stage for an actual default (a fail to “deliver”) in the silver market.

It is because of this total reversal in attitudes (and the depletion of bullion inventories) that I continue to urge investors to “think like the big buyers”. They want to see bullion prices fall, because they know inventories are depleted, and any pull-backs will be shorter and shorter.

When bullion prices fall, gold and silver are “on sale”. Period. And as we are always reminded when any retailer advertises a sale, buy now – because quantities are limited.

 

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Howard Ruff on Buying Gold And Silver
November 19, 2010 
Issue 86
SGS Notes: Whew! What a week in the precious metals world... today some volatile action as many predicted would happen... Those 'in the know' expected to see JP Morgan sell lots of naked short contracts on silver today to drive the price down under $25 spot, in an attempt to close the day out before the weekend at a low point...

Let's see what actually happened today:

We can see a sharp drop of almost $1.00 from 4:00-10:00 a.m. EST... and then a rally back to previous position...

The past month has seen several of these. Look at this custom chart depicting silver spot prices from October 19 - November 19, 2010. In regard to the gold/silver ratio, October started with a ratio of 60:1, and ended at 54:1. Today's closing ratio ended around 50:1. It still has a long way to go to get back to the historic ratio of 16:1. At today's gold price, that would mean silver should be at almost $85 per ounce.

In an interview this week on Alex Jones' radio show, the international journalist Max Keiser suggested a mechanism for bringing down the 'House of Morgan': Every American should just buy some real silver. The relevant excerpt from the interview is three minutes long and you can listen to it here:

Listen to Max Keiser on Alex Jones here

 

Howard Ruff on Buying Gold & Silver

Gold and silver are perfect pure inflation hedges. Strictly seen as an investment, as the dollar shrinks in value, gold will be worth thousands of dollars an ounce and silver will be worth hundreds of dollars an ounce. Glenn Beck, one of my favorite talk show hosts, said he is “not buying gold as an investment, although it will be a good investment, but as insurance.” He doesn’t tell us what he is insuring against, but I’ll tell you. He’s insuring against the plummeting loss of purchasing power of all dollar-denominated investments (price inflation), even the possible collapse of the dollar.

In these current circumstances, not buying gold or silver is one of the dumbest money decisions you can make in 2010-2011. Here are just a few reasons why this is so:

1. Obamanomics: Socialist states always inflate the paper currency. Obama, Congress, and the Federal Reserve are diluting value of dollars like never before by creating more of them. Accommodating Obama and Congress, the Fed has manufactured trillions of dollars out of nothing at by far the fastest pace in history, and it’s accelerating. Currencies are supposed to be a “means of exchange and a store of value.” The dollar is still a means of exchange, but due to inflation, it is no longer a store of value.

The government has given trillions to the big banks, which will loan the dollars into circulation or give them to politicians to spend into circulation. This money expansion currently dwarfs several times over the monetary explosion that led to the Carter-driven metals bull market in the ‘70s. I can’t overstate what is happening. Economists may call this monetary-expansion process “inflation” but it really should be called “dilution”—dilution of the money supply and consequently its value. Inevitably, sooner or later, consumer prices rise and laymen then mistakenly call that “inflation.” Calling rising prices inflation is like calling falling trees hurricanes. When will the public catch on? Price inflation and gold prices are the chief measurements of public awareness. Sooner or later, awareness becomes a critical mass, the public catches on, and the metals go through the stratosphere.

2. Real money: Gold and silver (especially silver) have been real money over and over again, in all ages of time and on all continents. Ever since Gutenberg invented the printing press 400 years ago, the world has been littered with worthless dead paper currencies every seventy-five to eighty years, due to runaway money printing when the people discover they can vote themselves benefits from the public treasury. Every time the dominant currency has been inflated, gold and silver coins have become hugely profitable investments, and sometimes the only surviving currency!

Throughout history, each time a paper currency finally caved in to inflation, gold and silver (especially silver) became the only universally acceptable coin of the realm. Gold and silver as a means of exchange and a store of value have always survived. They have always been symbols of wealth, far more precious in our consciousness than any mere paper.

During periods of hyperinflation, there always comes a time when people refuse to accept more and more counterfeit, inflated money or base-metal coins in return for their hard-produced goods and services. At that point, society instinctively turns to gold and silver. It has happened over and over again, and as George Santayana said, “Those who cannot remember the past are condemned to repeat it.”

3. It’s early in the game: Gold and silver are early in an historic bull market (in fact, as this is written, it’s only a Golden Calf), making this a low-risk investment with an awesome upside for the long-term investor. Especially silver. This gold and silver bull market will dwarf the last great one in 1973-80, when fortunes were made by relatively small amounts of money invested by amateur investors (many of them my readers). All of the factors that created the last bull market are here again, only amplified several times.

4. Supply and demand: Both metals are far rarer than most people know. All the gold ever mined since the dawn of history, including that in Central banks, gold fillings, and sunken shipwrecks in the Caribbean, etc. would cover a football field about four-feet deep. It would make a cube about the size of a typical 8-room house. Demand is now leaping past new supplies.

Likewise, most of the easy silver has been mined over the centuries, even with primitive methods. For example, during the Roman millennium, they used silver coins for currency and exhausted the Spanish silver mines.

Now that prices are high enough to make gold and silver mining profitable again, it will take as much as seven to ten years to develop new mines, and stagnant supply and rising demand have made higher prices inevitable for the imminent future.

In 1980 the historic ‘70s gold bull market finally topped out at $850. After adjusting for inflation, to merely equal what it did in 1980, gold would have to go (only) to $2,300, and silver topped out at $50 in 1980. After adjusting for inflation since then, to merely make a new high, silver would have to go over $125 and gold to $2,300!

Why might the metals go even higher? Most compelling is the fact that the biggest single factor that drives gold and silver is monetary inflation, and that’s already several times greater now than it was during the great gold-and-silver bull market of the ‘70s. In fact, gold and silver have been rising in response to money creation since 2000. Add to that the silver supply/demand phenomenon, and that means far higher prices—unless they repealed the law of supply and demand when I wasn’t looking.

These are just a few of the reasons why ignoring gold or silver will cost you a fortune in missed opportunities. In the worst case, gold is headed towards at least $2,500 an ounce (currently over $1,000, up from $280 so far), and silver is headed for at least $100 (currently more than $19, up from $4). And the best by far is still ahead. Long term gold and silver investors should make as much as ten times their money—and maybe a lot more—before we get a sudden rush of brains to the head and create a sound, gold-backed currency.


Other Articles of Interest

Ted Butler & Chris Martensen
Discuss the End of the
Silver Price Manipulation

$53,957 in Circulation for Every Ounce of Gold

Delta-Hedging to Cause Gold Price to Explode


 


Free Service

SGS Volume Discounts

SGS has received several inquiries of late regarding our volume discount program. Our volume discounts apply only to non-numismatic rounds and begin with quantities of 200 ounces or more as follows:

200 -500 oz - $1.00 / oz discount
501 - 1000 oz - $1.50 / oz discount
1001 or more - $2.00 / oz discount

Volume orders will need to be placed by phone at present. We welcome individuals to enlist acquaintances to join them in a group order to take advantage of these discounts.

 

Quote of the Week

"The major monetary metal in history is silver, not gold.”

– Nobel Laureate Milton Friedman



 

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Recurring Orders At SGS

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If you would like to set up a recurring order, please contact us by phone or eMail. There is some paperwork that must be completed for us to do this for you.

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This Week's Video

David Morgan and James Turk on the Silver Price and CFTC

 

Special Thanksgiving
Greetings

The Many Uses of Silver ~ The Silver Institute
Note from SG&S:  One of the things that all precious metals experts agree upon is the fact that apart from being a precious metal, silver is a valuable investment for its industrial use alone. Ted Butler referenced this in his speeches at the Phoenix Silver Summit this past spring, "Silver: Past, Present & Future" (ref. http://www.teapartysilver.org/news/TPNews10.html & http://www.teapartysilver.org/news/TPNews11.html .
Another feature that enhances the value of silver as an industrial metal is its increasing scarcity. We are not seeing this visibly yet in the investor marketplace, but the experts are watching this and commenting on it with increasing frequency.
The following information from The Silver Institute details the many ways in which silver is valuable as an industrial metal. As an investor, you may draw your own conclusions.
 
The Many Uses of Silver
 
Pharmaceuticals
Silver is leading a revolution in technology and medicine. The white metal's unique bacteria-fighting qualities are becoming more and more critical in healing conditions ranging from severe burns to Legionnaires Disease. In fact, the most powerful treatment for burns is silver sulfadiazine, which is used in every hospital in North America to promote healing and reduce infection. Everything from surgical threads to bandages and dressings to doctors' coats and catheters are utilizing silver. In hospitals and homes, silver in ductwork provides maximum sterile atmosphere.
 
Electrical
Silver is the best electrical conductor of all metals. Because it does not corrode, its use in electrical and motor control switches is universal. A fully-equipped automobile may have over 40 silver-tipped switches to start the engine, activate power steering, brakes, windows, mirrors, locks and other electrical accessories
 
Chemical Catalyst
Silver is also one of the few elements that improve the efficiency of chemical reactions. It is the only catalyst that will oxidize ethylene gas into ethylene oxide, the building block for polyester textiles used for clothing and specialty fabrics, and melded items like computer keyboards, electrical control knobs, domestic appliance components and Mylar tape used for all audio, VCR and recording tapes. Nanotechnology applications using silver are growing -- in computers, communications, miniature motors and switches.
 
Reflectants
Silvered windshields in homes, cars and office buildings reflect away some 70% of the solar energy that would otherwise pass through, thus reducing the load on air conditioners. The U.S. Department of Energy's Energy Star Program has spurred 50% increase in silver-coated glass in past six years, translating to 350 million square feet of glass, or five million ounces of silver per year.
 
Industrial
Silver is the ideal industrial material. No other metal has silver's combined strength, malleability and ductility, or facilitates electrical and thermal conductivity as well, or can reflect light and endure such extreme temperature changes. Jet engines of today and tomorrow can depend on silver-coated bearings for their performance and safety. All major jet engine manufacturers utilize these high-performance silver bearings, which provide critical fail-safe lubrication required by the Federal Aviation Administration.
 
Printed Circuitry
Printed circuit boards (PCBs) use silver for connecting paths of electronic circuitry. PCBs are essential to the electronics that control the operation of aircraft, automobile engines, electrical appliances, security systems, telecommunication networks, mobile telephones, television receivers. Most computer keyboards use silver membrane switches.
 
Superconductors
These low-current switches are also found in control panels of cable television, telephones, and devices using digital electronics. Superconductivity is the power transmission of the future and silver makes it faster and more effective. Silver-jacketed superconducting oxide wires can carry more than 140 times the electric load of copper wire with less than 1 percent of the weight. This wire utilizes about 1,000 ounces of silver per mile. Silver already improves performance at lighter weights and size in cables, motors, generators and transformers. Silver oxide-zinc batteries provide higher voltages and longer life for such consumer goods as quartz watches, cameras, and electronic tools.
 
Electroplating
The ease of electrodeposition of silver accounts for silver's widespread use in coating. The plating thickness of some items, such as fuse caps, is less than one micron although the silver then tarnishes more easily. Coatings of two to seven microns are normal for heavy duty electrical equipment. Silver plating is used in a wide variety of applications from Christmas Tree ornaments to cutlery and hollowware.
 
Brazing & Soldering
Silver facilitates the joining of materials (called brazing when done at temperatures above 600oCelsius and soldering when below) and produces naturally smooth, leak-tight and corrosion-resistant joints. Silver brazing alloys are used widely in applications ranging from air-conditioning and refrigeration equipment to power distribution equipment in the electrical engineering sector. It is also used in the automobile and aerospace industries.
 
Coins
Silver, being a rare and noble metal, was a more desirable medium of exchange than beads, feathers, shells, and the like. Its use as a medium of exchange is known throughout all recorded history. Coins, in the sense of having an authenticating stamp on them, began to appear in the eastern Mediterranean during 550 B.C. By 269 B.C. Rome adopted silver as part of its standard coinage. Silver became the trading medium for merchants throughout the civilized world. (Gold being reserved for governments and the wealthy.) Today silver coins continue to be the medium of exchange wherever paper is not acceptable, for example, in parts of Africa and the Middle East. One example of a trade coin is the Empress Maria Theresia Taler, first minted in Austria in 1741. It was standardized in 1780 as 28 grams and 833/1000 silver (the remainder copper). Some 370 million of these 1780 dated coins have been minted up to 1996 and a large proportion remain in circulation today.
 
Photography
Although a wide variety of other technology is available, silver-based photography will retain its pre-eminence due to its superior definition and low cost. From it's very outset, silver halide has been the material that records what is to be seen in the photograph. As little as 4 photons of light activate silver halides which amplify that incident light by a factor of one billion times. In today's photography, silver halides are coupled with dyes that bring the color of the world around us into permanent record. An estimated 196 million troy ounces of silver were used worldwide in 2003 for photographic purpose.
 
Silverware & Jewelry
Silver possesses working qualities similar to gold but enjoys greater reflectivity and can achieve the most brilliant polish of any metal. To make it durable for jewelry, however, pure silver (999 fineness) is often alloyed with small quantities of copper. In many countries, Sterling Silver (92.5% silver, 7.5% copper) is the standard for silverware and has been since the 14th century.
 
Mirrors & Coatings
Silver's unique optical reflectivity, and its property of being virtually 100% reflective after polishing, allows it to be used both in mirrors and in coatings for glass, cellophane or metals. Everyone is accustomed to silvered mirrors. What is new is invisible silver, a transparent coating of silver on double pane thermal windows. This coating not only rejects the hot summer sun, but also reflects inward internal house heat. A new double layer of silver on glass marketed as "low E squared" is sweeping the window market as it reflects away almost 95% of the hot rays of the sun, creating a new level of household energy savings. Over 250 million square feet of silver- coated glass is used for domestic windows in the U.S. yearly and much more for silver coated polyester sheet for retrofitting windows.
 
Solar Energy
Silver paste is used in 90 percent of all crystalline silicon photovoltaic cells, which are the most common solar cell, according to the Photovoltaic Technology Division of the U.S. Department of Energy. And all silicon cells used in space to power satellites use silver in the form of evaporated metal to make the electrical contact. The electricity generated by photovoltaic cells is highly reliable. As soon as sunlight strikes, power begins to flow. Sunlight striking silicon cells generates electrons, which the silver conductors collect to become a useful electric current. The conductive silver, which also enhances reflection of the sunlight, is applied in the form of a glass paste with a minimum of 90 percent silver along the top and across the bottom of the silicon crystal. When fired, the silver forms a complete circuit collecting solar energy and conducting it to the power supply line. A group of roofing-tile solar cells can generate sufficient power to provide a house and also fill batteries to supply power after dark. Silver plays yet another role in the collection of solar energy: efficient reflection of solar heat. Silver is the best reflector of thermal energy (after gold).
 
Water Purification
An increasing trend is the millions of on-the-counter and under-the-counter water purifiers that are sold each year in the United States to rid drinking water of bacteria, chlorine, trihalomethanes, lead, particulates, and odor. Here silver is used to prevent the buildup of bacteria and algae in the filters. Of the billions of dollars spent yearly in the U.S. for drinking water purification systems, over half make advantageous use of the bactericidal properties of silver. New research has shown that the catalytic action of silver, in concert with oxygen, provides a powerful sanitizer, virtually eliminating the need for the use of corrosive chlorine
 
 
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