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Silver Market Roller Coaster & QE∞

Today's Gold/Silver Ratio: 51/1 SAME

Issue 136

Gold: $1770.500/ Silver: $34.68

SGS Notes: Well, it's been another eventful week... if you had been watching silver prices this week, you would have seen the roller coaster we all experienced. I rarely write the SGS Newsletter main article(s), preferring to allow the 'experts' to speak since they can do it far better than I. However, I'd like to provide the following commentary to try to explain in simple terms what we saw happen this week, and some of the implications, taking information from the variety of sources I peruse daily.

Silver Market Roller Coaster & QE


Monday 10th -
Our week started out with silver spot at $33.69 as the market opened Sunday evening, and Monday was pretty uneventful closing at $33.51.... the calm before the storm.


"Everything going on these days behind the scenes is interconnected to the take down of the 'Bad Guys'. From the US elections to the European situation to the silver market volatility - it's all interconnected. It is all an orchestrated play that is coming to it's climax. OUR TIME is approaching fast and this go-round there is no stopping what is to come." Bix Weir 9/10

(See 'The Planned Silver End Game' at right)

Tuesday the 11th Monday was followed by a volatile day on Tuesday the 12th. Prices fluctuated all day in a $.40 range... and finally cloased the day at $33.62.

Tension is mounting as the world awaits the speech & anticipated announcement by Ben Bernanke on Thursday.

 

 

 

Wednesday, the 12th all is still fairly quiet when WHAM! around 10:30 a.m. EDT, we have an abrupt downturn of $1.
If there was any doubt in your mind about the silver market manipulation, this week's activity should lay it to rest.

Wednesday's smackdown by the manipulators is on record for all to see. How does a naturally occurring market make a instantaneous drop of almost $2.00, then rise $1 within the hour ???

So what was happening?

One of the favorite tools of the manipulators is to do a quick massive sell-off, which triggers the stop-losses of other investors and floods the market, thereby causing a sharp downturn in price. At the bottom of the downturn, they use the same money to buy up more positions before equilibrium returns. When you are dealing with millions of shares, $1 in price can make a big difference.

Remember we've been hearing how JP Morgan (primary culprit - there are others) holds a massive naked short position in silver derivatives.

Wednesday, I got this from Bix,

" Just a heads up about the Fed announcement tomorrow...

WATCH FOR A BACKFIRE!

I don't know what that backfire will be but in the Road to Roota Theory the Fed will have to be blamed for the global monetary meltdown. It may be the announcement of some form of QE3 as that would be something that is very visible.

Whatever comes from the announcement watch for the global meltdown to increase in speed over the weeks following."

Thursday, the 13th

Bernanke announces QE to infinity...

Bix's comments:

"No limits. No end date. This is QE to INFINITY!

Make no mistake...this is all on purpose. This is the END GAME and the blame for the global meltdown will be placed, rightfully, on the shoulders of the Federal Reserve.

Basically, the Fed has chosen to FALL ON IT'S OWN SWORD!

The Gold and Silver move upward has caught all the shorts off guard. The Bad Guys are in deep, deep trouble as they took their cues from the likes of Jeffrey Christian and Jon Nadler who were advising EVERYONE to short gold and silver. Now it gets exciting!"


Silver had a small drop right before the announcement, then a huge leap of $2.00 where it broke through the $34 ceiling almost reached $35 before dropping off a bit, and continued on almost flatlining throughout Friday.

What was the final outcome of the week? Check out this week's COT Report (at right).

"Clearly, the commercials were preparing for a massive raid on Thursday, until Bernanke dropped their pants by announcing QE." Watch for the upside in silver in coming weeks ahead.

Bix Weir is looking for a major CFTC announcement this month on the imposition of position limits, the beginning of the derivative implosion, followed by a silver 'moon shot' in October.

 

Other Articles      


The PLANNED Silver End Game
Bix Weir

Silver COT Report

German Court Caves to Euro-Zone Hyperinflation

Jeff Nielson

Bernanke Defends Unlimited QE, as Market Goes Wild

Business Insider

FED Press Release

Ron Paul is Right; the FED and Lunatics that run it is the heart of the problem
Zerohedge

Where Does Money Come From?

China Launching Gold-Backed Worldwide Currency

Judge says $80M Gold Coins belong to the Government

 


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Videos      


GATA's Bill Murphy on
the JP Morgan Silver Shortage
and the next Bullion Bank Run!

 

John Williams (Shadowstats)
Sell-Off in Dollar Should Evolve into Hyperinflation

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How Your Bank Account Could Disappear ~ Jeff Nielson
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Today's Gold/Silver Ratio: 53/1 DN

Issue 136

Gold: $1681.80/ Silver: $31.26

SGS Notes: You may have guessed by now that one of my favorite commentators is Jeff Nielson, Senior Precious Metals Analyst for BullionBulls Canada. I'm featuring several of his articles this week because he has always been so 'spot on' with regard to this market…and I love how well he is able to articulate these concepts so that anybody can understand without having their eyes gloss over!

How Your Bank Account Could Disappear
Jeff Nielson

On the same morning we hear that ¼ of Wall Street executives think that fraud is a necessary part of "doing business" in the financial sector, we hear of a second "MF Global". The U.S.'s so-called regulators are now reporting that somewhere around $220 million in customer funds is "missing" at a financial institution known as PFGBest; once again closing the barn door after all the cows have run off.

With at least one out of every four bankers at U.S. Big Banks (that's how many admitted to being crooks in the survey) thinking that stealing is part of their job descriptions, it's very important for people to realize how little protection there now is between these thieves and your bank accounts. Based on the writing of a number of other individuals with more expertise in these markets, it is apparently an inherently fraudulent banking process known as "rehypothecation" which is allowing the mass-plundering of accounts at U.S. financial institutions, with other Western financial regulatory authorities also rubber-stamping this relatively new form of bankster crime.

Rehypothecation is a heinous practice permitted by the pretend-regulators of Western markets, where financial institutions are allowed to pledge their clients' funds as collateral to cover their own gambling debts. I say "inherently fraudulent" since few of the clients of these financial institutions would ever knowingly enter into contracts with these gambling-addicts where their cash could be used to cover their bankers' gambling debts.

Instead, what is happening here is that the rehypothecation clauses are being buried in the "small print" of these contracts and (obviously) never properly explained to these clients: seemingly textbook fraudulent misrepresentation. The only "advantage" to a client into entering into such a contract is a slight reduction in fees, or slightly improved interest rate - certainly not near enough to entice people into risking some near-100% loss insuring someone else's gambling debts.

So we have our "regulators" (i.e. the only protectors of our funds in the hands of these admitted thieves) giving these fraud-factories the green light to enter into these inherently fraudulent contracts, putting any/all funds of these clients in permanent jeopardy. Thus it's important to outline how this could happen with ordinary bank accounts.

First it must be noted that the Corporate Media (loyal friends of the Big Banks) are referring to this as a "brokerage" problem. Understand that a brokerage is nothing but a legal "bookie", an entity which takes (and makes) bets, and which must hold the funds of its "customers" in order to do business. Apparently the principal difference now between a "legal" bookie and an "illegal" bookie is that an illegal bookie is much less likely to use his customers' funds to cover his own bad bets.

What people must also understand is that the world's biggest bookies, indeed, the biggest bookies in the history of the world are the Big Banks themselves (specifically U.S. Big Banks). Most of their gambling is done in their own, rigged casino: the $1.5 quadrillion derivatives market.

Note that you won't see that number quoted by the Corporate Media (any longer). As concern about the size of the bankers' mountain of bets grew; the bankers asked the Master Bookie - the Bank for International Settlements - to change the "definition" of this market, and instantly the derivatives market shrunk to 1/3rd its former size.

As many know, the BIS is known as "the central bank for central banks". What a smaller number of people know is that this is the world's great money-laundering vehicle, an entity created just before World War II specifically to allow Western industrialists to continue to do a vast amount of business with Adolph Hitler. In other words, it's not exactly a reliable source for information. So I choose to use the same numbers that the banksters previously used themselves, before they started getting defensive about the insane amounts of their gambling.

We are being led to believe by the Corporate Media (another unreliable source) that this problem is only a risk for all individuals with "brokerage" accounts, however as we piece together all the pieces of the puzzle (already revealed) this is what we see before us:
1) Our banking regulators knowingly allow financial institutions to engage in recklessly misleading (if not outright fraudulent) contracts with their clients, through the use of complex "small print" in their account contracts with clients.
2) The three largest U.S. "banks" by deposit (JP Morgan, Bank of America, Citigroup) have made bets in their own rigged casino, which total well in excess of $100 trillion, an amount which completely dwarfs their total, combined deposits (and assets).
3) A large portion of those bets occur in the $60+ trillion credit default swap market. Pay-outs in these markets can (and do) exceed 300 times the amount of the original bet. It is bets in this market which "blew up" AIG, requiring more than $150 billion in immediate government aid.
4) Following the Crash of '08; these same banks mooched a package of hand-outs, tax-breaks and "guarantees" (i.e. future hand-outs) from the Bush regime in excess of $15 trillion, the last time their gambling debts went bad on them - and all of these banks have been allowed to dramatically increase the total amount of their gambling since then.
5) It would take only a minor change in the gambling contracts in which these bankers engage to allow their creditors to seize funds out of ordinary bank accounts.
6) The existing language for the bank accounts of these U.S. banks is possibly already so vague (and prejudicial to clients) that it would allow these banks to reinterpret the terms of these bank accounts - and allow rehypothecation to be used to rob the holders of ordinary bank accounts, people who themselves make no "bets" in markets whatsoever. Alternately, customers could be blitzed with an offer for "new and improved" bank accounts, where terms allowing rehypothecation are slipped into the contract, with the banks knowing that the "regulators" will do nothing to warn account-holders of the gigantic risk they are taking.

The same media apologists who would scoff at this suggestion are the same shills who claimed "there could never be another MF Global". Meanwhile we have the biggest gambler of them all, JP Morgan, just confessing to having made more of these bad bets - which continue growing larger by the $billion.

When we add-in the fact that the U.S.'s mark-to-fraud accounting rules mean that these banks are easily able to hide the level of their insolvency, the pretend-regulators apparently don't have the slightest idea of the level of risk to which account-holders are being exposed. This is the charitable explanation for these facts. The alternative interpretation is that these "regulators" are direct accomplices of the criminal banking cabal.

I have consistently referred to the U.S. financial sector as a "crime syndicate" for several years now, often drawing considerable criticism for supposedly hyperbolic rhetoric. Obviously I have been completely vindicated here. One quarter of these bankers are now confessed thieves. The pretend-regulators (notably the SEC and CFTC) on a daily basis rubber-stamp the banksters' acts of fraud (where they are caught red-handed) - handing out totally trivial fines, and not even requiring these thieves to admit their guilt.

If there are any substantive differences between how the U.S. financial sector is allowed to operate versus any generic definition of a "crime syndicate", it would be enlightening to hear what those (supposed) differences are. And now these thieves are closer than ever to simply reaching into peoples' bank accounts and grabbing every dollar they can steal.

The principal reason why I and others have urged people to convert their banker-paper to gold and silver in the past was the 1,000 year track-record of these bankers' paper, fiat currencies always going to zero (through the bankers recklessly diluting these currencies via over-printing). However, we can add to that a much more basic reason: every ounce of gold and silver which you purchase (and store in your own home "safe" or other secure location) is wealth which cannot be stolen by the banking crime syndicate. This is what commentators are really referring to when they speak of "counterparty risk": placing your future financial security in someone else's hands.

What the large financial institutions of the 21st century have taught us (through the cruel "lessons" of their serial crimes) is that there is no one in the world whom you can trust less with your money than a banker.

Other Articles      


$150 Silver Price: This Will Happen
Dominique de Kevelioc de Bailleul

Central Banks Buying Gold Like it's 1965
SeekingAlpha

Chinese Gold To Double in Value with Basel III
Capital Metals

Morgan Stanley Faces Imminent Failure & Ruin
Jim Willie

Lindsey Williams Interview 8-24

Gold, Silver, A Collapsing Global Economy & Panic
John Embry

Investors Assets To Be Stolen In The Coming Collapse
Egon von Greyerz

How To Survive The Coming Chaotic & Catastrophic Markets
Robert Fitzwilson

Gold & Silver Going VERTICAL After Cartel Raid As Humans Interpret Bernanke's Remarks as QE3 is Imminent
Silver Doctors

Gold & Silver Rally as Dollar Falls
BeforeItsNews


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Silver: Supply & Demand

Silver: Part 2: Investment Demand
Endeavor Silver

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Silver Metal Now and a Golden Traveler's Check ~ Dr. Jeffrey Lewis
 
Today's Gold/Silver Ratio: 58/1 UP

Issue 133

Gold: $1584.20/ Silver: $27.37

SGS Notes: Lots of items of high interest in the ongoing LIBOR scandal...just the tip of the iceberg… see this week's major article on US Marshalls Expose Biggest Scandal in History for all the details…
Also, Bill Murphy of GATA in this week's video references connections between the JP Morgan/LIBOR scandal and silver… Keep your eyes open out there!

Silver Metal Now and a Golden Traveler's Check
Dr. Jeffrey Lewis

One of the main advantages of buying silver versus more costly precious metals like gold and platinum is that silver's relative cheapness allows you to buy more metal for the money.
Furthermore, inflation is a reality that eats away at the value of all paper currencies, while boosting the value of hard currencies like silver.

Given the likelihood of ongoing paper currency devaluation and debasement, despite short term perceptual fluctuations in the basket of floating currencies, the U.S. Dollar you are holding today is more valuable in terms of its purchasing power today than it will be tomorrow or a year from now.

Putting Things Into Perspective

If you are skeptical about holding silver or need a way to determine what time frame you should be holding silver for, you can consider the following question:
Given the at least 95% loss of purchasing power in the U.S. Dollar seen since 1913, with the vast majority of that loss of value occurring over the last 40 years, what would you rather be holding one year from now: An ounce of silver or the amount of U.S. Dollars that can currently purchase an ounce of silver?

Now ask the same question over a three, five and ten year time horizon. If your answer is consistently silver, then you really should be stocking up now that its price has retraced substantially from its recently made long-term highs.

This type of analysis allows you to put things into perspective and tolerate the short-term noise as the silver market fluctuates with less anxiety.

Why Choose Silver Over Gold?

Silver is currently preferable to gold for a variety of reasons. One of the most compelling is the price to supply ratio. The current supply of investment grade silver is 1 billion ounces versus 5 billion ounces for gold, while the ratio of metal in the ground is below 20 to 1.
Furthermore, both metals are well below their inflation-adjusted highs, especially when you calculate inflation based on an older, simpler methodology. In fact, silver is even more attractive than gold from this perspective.

Another factor is that silver is actually a more strategic and necessary commodity than ever. Its growing use in electronics, health applications and solar power production assure strong industrial demand for years to come.

Traveling With Silver's Bulk in Emergencies

Some investors who like to hold precious metals as an emergency get-out-of-town card are concerned about silver's extra bulk compared to gold when traveling. Basically, a given dollar amount of silver is much heavier and bulkier than the equivalent dollar amount of gold - so silver is just not as portable as gold.

Nevertheless, silver is not really that bulky relative to its value since a bowling ball made of pure silver would be worth well over $20,000 at $30 per ounce. What else can the average person readily accumulate and store in their house with the equivalent size and value?

Still, if you really need to 'get out of dodge' in a hurry or on foot, it would admittedly be a lot easier to carry only 15 ounces of gold - until you can switch back to silver of course!

Fortunately, investment grade silver and gold share enough properties to make them easily convertible into each other in emergencies. Silver is also easier to spend in small quantities to pay for the necessities of life while traveling.


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Other Articles      


48 Tons of Silver Recovered From World War II Shipwreck
ABC News

LIBOR Manipulation Leads to Questions Regarding Gold Manipulation
Financial Sense

The Return Of The Gold Standard?It Lies Ahead
Seeking Alpha

The LBMA Gold Price Fixing Scheme Is Over
King World News

Silver Undervalued
SilverSeek

US Marshals Expose Biggest Scandal in History
DivineCosmos

House to vote Tuesday on Paul's Fed Audit Bill
Reuters


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EXCLUSIVE- Bill Murphy's London Source: "Big Gold & Silver Moves Coming in August"

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Dismal Metals Sentiment - Just What Bernanke Ordered ~ Jeff Lewis

Today's Gold/Silver Ratio: 56/1 UP

Issue 131

Gold: $1570.00/ Silver: $28.17

SGS Notes: We're sending out our newsletter mid-week this issue because there is so much going on right now we want you to be aware of. The JP Morgan news is HUGE… so we are featuring various articles this week about that and the implications for all of us.

There are also things happening in the Eurozone and in Greece that will affect us all dramatically. Hold on to your seats, the ride is about to get bumpy. We're looking for the end of the metals manipulation when physical silver prices detach from the ETC prices… should be soon. We saw silver spot dip below $27 this week, and, looking at the Gold/Silver ratio… it's up quite high - again. Remember: that ratio SHOULD be in the 16/1 range. Still a long way to go.

Dismal Metals Sentiment - Just What Bernanke Ordered
Jeff Lewis

Since the dramatic drops the silver market saw in May and September of last year, prices in the precious metals market have been suffering from an excess of negative sentiment. This adverse perception is weighing on metal prices and keeping investor demand at bay.

Furthermore, although investors have continued to buy physical silver, the overall quantity being purchased has declined significantly, resulting in reduced support for the metal's price.
Nevertheless, the supply of silver is naturally limited by the quantity existing in the Earth's crust, despite ever growing industrial applications for the metal and rising price inflation. This key combination of factors still provides a strong fundamental basis for continuing to hold silver over the long term.

Could Weak Silver Sentiment be Conveniently Manufactured by Central Bankers?
Interestingly, this depressed silver market sentiment picture seems to be the perfect political tool needed during a U.S. election year to lend much needed psychological support to an ever weakening U.S. Dollar in terms of its ability to purchase goods and services.

Keeping silver and other precious metal prices low by depressing market sentiment, and perhaps even engaging in covert market intervention, seems suspiciously convenient after such an excessive amount of liquidity has already been pumped into the U.S. monetary system by the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank's highly controversial quantitative easing measures promoted by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke.

In addition, given the high amount of liquidity the European Central Bank needed to inject to deal with the debt troubled Eurozone countries like Greece, Spain, Italy, Ireland and Portugal, the increasingly obvious end result will be higher consumer price inflation, despite ongoing denials by central bank and government officials.

More QE Measures Likely as U.S. Economy Languishes in Election Year
Bearish for the Dollar, but very bullish for hard precious metal currencies like silver, is the view among many market participants that further rounds of quantitative easing or QE measures by the Fed are still practically a given during this election year to help lend support to a stubbornly struggling U.S. economy.

Nevertheless, allowing metals to trade higher based on their strong fundamentals would severely dampen the U.S. central bankers' ability to overtly increase the money supply in a substantial way.
EU Moves Toward Ratifying ESM to Provide More Permanent Bailout Mechanism
Another related development is that the European Stability Mechanism or ESM is expected to be ratified by July of this year, provided that enough of the 17 Eurozone member states approve of the bailout system to represent ninety percent of its capital commitments.

This new EU rescue program is expected to permanently replace the existing temporary European Financial Stability Facility within the Eurozone, thereby making meta-government bailouts an ongoing feature of the Eurozone's economy.

As in the United States, a reasonable person can only expect more liquidity increasing measures will soon also follow in the EU, thereby making an even stronger case for continuing to hold and accumulate precious metals like silver.


Does Jamie Dimon's Problem Actually Reside in SILVER DERIVATIVES?

Facts are facts. Since May 7th the price of silver has been mercifully driven down below $30 and on May 10th Jamie Dimon announced a $2B derivative loss. The price of silver is continuing to be driven down which in my mind means only one thing...JPM is losing the physical silver game and having to drive the price lower to get their hands on physical at a price that would reduce their overall losses. Never mind that the paper silver short will increase...this is now a physical game.
A clue lies in the COMEX data that shows that silver is in backwardization!

Bix Weir,
www.RoadtoRoota.com

 

 

Other Articles      

Soros Quadruples Gold Holdings
Wealth Wire

Gold, Money, and the Parable of the Three Little Pigs
Lew Rockwell

The 2 Billion Dollar Loss By JP Morgan Is Just A Preview Of The Coming Collapse Of The Derivatives Market

Full Blown Bank Run In Greece

How The U.S. Dollar Will Be Replaced

This is Why World Markets are Incredibly Unstable
Stephen Leeb

Will See Three Digit Silver In The Next Couple of Years
Stephen Leeb

JP Morgan's Losses A Canary in A Coal Mine?
Bill Moyers


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Bix Weir
JP Morgan Derivatives Book
Blowing Up

Lindsey Williams Part 1
Derivatives Market Collapsing & JP Morgan

Lindsey Williams Part 2
Derivatives Market Collapsing & JP Morgan

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The Coming Paradigm Shift in Silver ~ Steve St. Angelo
If you are having difficulty reading this, click here to view online
Today's Gold/Silver Ratio: 51/1 UP

Issue 127

Gold: $1630.30/ Silver: $31.79

SGS Notes: Our key article this week is quite lengthy but very informative … I hope you will take the time to click the 'Read More' to see the full article… we are only able to publish the initial portion of it below:

The Coming Paradigm Shift in Silver

Steve St. Angelo

The biggest problem for investors today in trying to forecast the future price of silver is the enormous amount of contradictory analysis on the Internet. There are bulls, bears, paper traders, physical buyers, technical analysts, hedge funds, commercial banks and silver manufacturers all trying to play a part in this highly volatile silver market. Trying to sift through the huge volumes of silver analysis on the internet can be extremely frustrating. In addition, some of this information is not meant to inform, but rather to confuse or mislead the investor.

There is a great deal of misinformation on the internet when it comes to silver. I find it ironic that one of the so-called "bullion specialists" seems to give bearish commentary whenever the price of gold or silver rises to new highs. This is akin to a CEO of a corporation telling the media and shareholders that the company's stock price is too high and needs to drop down to more sustainable levels. What CEO on Earth would say something as stupid as this with the best interest of the company and shareholders in mind? Furthermore, how many CEOs would keep their job if they repeated this over and over for the past several years, and got it wrong time and time again?

Unless you have been in the precious metals markets for quite some time, it is easy to be misled by this type of information. This is the very reason behind the motivation that I had to write this article. In it, I will attempt to give the reader-investor a more detailed and fundamental comparative analysis of the future price of silver, rather than the typical fly-by-night technical charting or bull-bear rant. This should give a more commonsense methodology in forecasting the future path of silver and its eventual paradigm shift.

Paradigm Shift: -n, a radical change in underlying beliefs or theory

The coming paradigm shift in silver will not happen due to technical analysis, fundamentals, or supply & demand forces, but rather due to a change in mass psychology of investors. Even though fundamentals and supply-demand forces will play a part in this shift, they will not be the ultimate cause. I believe technical analysis as it is used today, only charts the amount of manipulation and mass psychology in the silver market.

Throughout history, a paradigm shift occurs in rigged markets when the manipulation of the financial system and economy is no longer sustainable. This occurred in the banking and housing markets in 2007-2008 when we had what I call a "Negative Paradigm Price Shift"- a trend where prices or values are declining.

Negative Paradigm Price Shift in Housing and Banking
Prior to 2007, the real estate market was kept alive by the work of clowns and magicians in the mortgage industry and banking system. For several years everyone was having a great time. As housing prices and sales continued towards the heavens, bank profits hit all-time records. Everything was going along just fine until the market realized one day that there was nothing left after "Liars Loans" were levied to keep the Ponzi going. Once the housing market collapsed, so too did the banking system. Like two twins attached at birth, one could not live without the other.

In true waterfall fashion, investment banks, commercial banks, government-sponsored entities and insurance companies went bankrupt, were either taken over or became a mere shadow of their former selves.

Read Full Article Here

Quote of the Week

Thus, the fight over gold and silver as media of exchange is about more than mere money, let alone making money. For it is a fight with only two possible outcomes: either control of their own lives by the people themselves, or control of the people and their lives by political and economic elitists.

- Dr. Edwin Vieira

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Jesse's Café American

Why Blythe Masters Is Telling The Truth
SilverDoctors

The [Recovery] Has No Clothes
Sprott Asset Management

You Can't Beat Silver as an Investment
FutureMoneyTrends

A Massive Spike In The Price of Silver Is Imminent
SilverSeek

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If Silver Goes Down All He** Will Break Loose
In The Physical Market

Silver is The Achilles' Heel to the Entire Economic System
David Morgan

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The Banker's New Gold ~ Jeff Nielson
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Today's Gold/Silver Ratio: 53/1

Issue 126

Gold: $1570.70/ Silver: $29.09

The Banker's New Gold

Jeff Nielson
BullionBulls, Canada

In a fresh sign of bankster desperation, we recently learned that they have pushed lease rates for gold to the lowest, negative level in history - i.e. they are paying people more money to "borrow" their gold than at any other time. We know this is a sign of desperation, because back in the real world, buyers are paying premiums near record-highs to buy their (real) gold.
There are numerous implications regarding this latest bankster tactic to suppress the gold market, but before getting into those let's explore all of the reasons why bankers like "leasing gold" in the first place. The starting point is to note that it is with gold-leasing that we see the beginnings of the banksters' 100:1 leverage in the gold market.

A banker is holding a quantity of gold in his vault. He "lends" the gold to a trader, and suddenly you havetwo parties both pretending to be the "owners" of that gold. Naturally, the banksters also like the fact that this is a totally opaque, unregulated/unreported transaction. The banksters can secretly lend out their gold, and since the transactions are never reported, we lack the absolute proof that none of this "loaned gold" is ever repaid.

There is certainly plenty of circumstantial evidence on which to base such a conclusion, however. In order to review this evidence, we first need to know what is being done with the bankers' leased gold. A detailed analysis by veteran precious metals commentator Frank Veneroso explains how and why "The ultimate borrowers in the gold lending operation are these shorts in the gold futures and forward market."

We immediately see a second reason the bankers love gold-leasing: all of the "leased" gold ends up being shorted onto the market. What this directly implies then is that in order for these gold leases to ever be repaid the short positions must be closed out so that the gold (supposedly) backing the trade can be repatriated to the bank. However, what we see in the gold market is a huge, permanent short position in the gold market - which has swelled enormously since Veneroso wrote the article above nearly a decade ago.
We now know that at least some of these gold leases have never been repaid, since the gold that was loaned out remains on the market. However, as a matter of simple arithmetic we can deduce that few if any of these leases are ever repaid. As I noted above, each gold lease creates "paper gold" (i.e. a "fractional reserve" gold market) and increases the bankers' leverage in the gold market.

READ THE REST OF THE ARTICLE

 

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Other Articles      

Gold, Silver, Currency Swaps and QE3
Matt Welke

Sprott Calls On Silver Producers To Hold Back Inventory

JP Morgan Crashed MF Global to Avert COMEX Failure, European Derivatives Implosion
Jim Willie

China Quietly Introduces New Currency System
Benjamin Fulford

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Dorothy's Silver Shoes or The Re-monetization of Silver Currency ~ Hugo Salinas Price
Issue 92
Today's Gold/Silver Ratio: 44/1 Up

Issue 120

Gold: $1751.10/ Silver: $39.18

SGS Notes: This week the GATA Gold Rush 2011 Conference was held in London. GATA is the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committe (http://www.gatagoldrush.com/ ) ... and we've seen material in the past from Andrew Maguire, Bill Murphy, and Ted Butler and others who have been actively involved in fighting the precious metals' manipulation over the years. Speakers this week at the conference include such big names as James Turk, Eric Sprott, Hugo Salinas Price, John Embry, Jim Sinclair... you've read articles by these folks and others in the SGS Newsletter since we began it.

The issue of the possible re-monetization of gold and silver is a hot one as we watch fiat currencies around the globe crumble into ruin. It's been on our radar screen at SGS since we began in 2008. There are many credible experts that believe it is coming faster than a speeding freight train... Bix Weir, of Road To Roota, is one such person. He has long been associated with GATA. As the world wakes up to the fiat schemes of the central bankers, there will be a rush... supplies will be in limitation... prices will skyrocket...

 

Dorothy's Silver Shoes or The Re-monetization of  Silver Currency of the United States of America

Hugo Salinas Price

President, Mexican Civic Association Pro Silver

www.plata.com.mx

Download article + bonus article, Gold Standard Generator & Protection Of Jobs

Why not re-monetize the silver dollar? Re-monetization could put the silver dollar and its subsidiary silver coinage into circulation in parallel with FRNs – “Federal Reserve Notes”.

There are several reasons that make this action possible, and only one that might be considered as an unimportant material obstacle.

In favor:

The silver dollar is the money that is still the Constitutional “coin of the realm”, defined by Act of Congress as 371.25 grains of pure silver. (The Troy ounce contains 480 grains.)

The silver dollar is familiar or at least known to almost all Americans.
A considerable quantity of these silver dollars is owned by Americans.

The silver dollar is a cherished symbol of a great past.

The monetized silver dollar would ignite a desire to save such as America has perhaps never seen before. The very first thing that must be done, to encourage people to save, is to give them something worth saving. As the US government gallops toward the abyss of bankruptcy by unlimited spending, the American people desperately require a refuge for their savings!

In this writer’s opinion, a large majority of the American people can see themselves as owners of silver money and, if a poll were taken, one can imagine that most Americans would express themselves in favor of silver money. Not so with gold, towards which the American people have little emotional attachment: gold is seen as the money of the élite. William Jennings Bryan exploited this fundamental attitude of the American people with his “Cross of Gold” speech. (Note: this should not be taken as disparaging gold; it is simply the statement of an opinion about the attitude of Americans regarding gold.)

Against:

The silver dollar bears a value stamped upon it: “One Dollar”.

***

The branch of government which the Constitution has designated as the agency “to coin money [and] regulate the value thereof” is the Treasury.

If the Treasury were to monetize the silver dollar coin by attributing to it a monetary value in terms of FRNs - “Federal Reserve Notes” - the public would very probably ignore the inscription of “One Dollar” upon the coin and accept it as legal tender money for the amount of the Treasury quote given to it. It would not be necessary to explain that twice, to anyone owning a silver dollar coin! In a short time, people would regard the term “One Dollar” as the name of a coin, rather than as a numeric indicator of legal tender value.

Determining the value of the silver dollar falls quite nicely into the Constitutional mandate to the Treasury: “To coin money [and] regulate the value thereof…”

How would the Treasury go about determining a quote to regulate the value of the silver dollar? Let bureaucrats and lawyers write books about how it should be done; here it is in a few words:

Suppose the price of silver bullion is $35 per ounce.

The silver dollar contains 77.34166% of a Troy ounce.

$35 X .7734166 = $27.07, the value of the silver in the silver dollar.

The Treasury will quote the silver dollar’s value in FRNs, with a margin of 15%, and round the figure to the next highest multiple of four:

$27.07 X 1.15 = $31.13, rounded up to $32.

The silver dollar as a legal tender coin worth $32 FRNs. The American public would eagerly purchase these silver dollars, worth $32 FRN dollars, and which could be used for all transactions without any haggling. The silver dollar worth $32 FRNs could even be deposited for that value in banks, if anyone had a mind to do such a thing.

If the price of silver rose to $37.61, the margin of profit of the Treasury, or seigniorage as it is formally known, would be reduced to 10%; at that point, a new and higher quote would be issued, to restore the 15% profit of the Treasury:

$37.61 X .7734166 = $29.09 value of silver in the silver dollar X 1.15 = $33.45, rounded up to $36 FRNs - 36 being the next highest multiple of four.

Why “the next highest multiple of four”? Because by doing so, the result would be the re-monetization of the entire silver currency system of the United States as it existed up until the Sixties of the last century.

In the last example, the silver half-dollars would automatically be worth $18 FRNs, the quarter-dollars would be worth $9 FRNs, and the dimes would be worth one-tenth of the silver dollar: $3.60 FRNs.

As pointed out in many articles at www.plata.com.mx, in the section in English, the last quote of the Treasury would remain firm and not subject to reduction, just as if the value in FRNs had been re-stamped upon the coin. The Treasury quote would simply take the place of a stamped quote, which cannot be reduced. The Treasury quote would only be raised, to follow the rising price of silver. In this way, the silver dollar would be a coin that would remain in use permanently.

This program would return the silver dollar and its subsidiary silver coinage of half-dollars, quarters and dimes to the American people in such a way as never to disappear again: all rises in the price of silver would be matched with rises in the quoted monetary value of the silver dollar and by derivation, of its subsidiary coinage: the silver half-dollar, the quarter and the dime.

This program would not cost the Federal Government – or the taxpayers that support it – one single cent! And yet, it would constitute the greatest gift to the American people that any US Congress could possibly invent, next only in importance to the return of the Gold Standard. The restoration of the silver currency of the United States to circulation, in parallel with the fiat FRN, can be considered the prelude to the revived Gold Standard.

By paying the Treasury a premium of 15% over the bullion price of silver, the American people would actually be subsidizing the Treasury’s work of monetization. This cost would be a one-time cost of obtaining real money of permanent value and utility, independent of the Fed and the banking system.

The re-monetization of the silver currency of the United States would create a new, vast market for physical silver and drive the price of silver very much higher. Those who might not be able to afford the purchase of monetized silver dollars could purchase half-dollars, quarters or dimes, which would provide the same security: they too, would rise with the rise in the price of silver. The rise in the price of silver would affect gold, which would also rise in price.

In order to facilitate larger transactions in silver, the Treasury could once again issue “Silver Certificates” attesting to the existence of silver held in its vaults.

With regard to the present faux-silver coinage in circulation, the American people are too intelligent to be deceived by it; this coinage may remain in circulation until the Treasury issues new coins for the purpose of making change in small transactions.

Though the restored silver currency may legally circulate, in practice it will be saved in its entirety and only be used in cases of emergency. Its “velocity of circulation” will be effectively close to zero.

******

Dorothy wore silver shoes, in L. Frank Baum’s classic book. Silver shoes on the yellow brick road! Dorothy symbolized then and still does today, the American people. Dorothy was unaware of the magic power of her silver shoes – and the American people are still equally unaware of the magic power of the re-monetized silver dollar: the power to recover America as the land of Hope and Opportunity!

What are the obstacles to regaining the silver dollar as money which can circulate in parallel with Federal Reserve Notes? The main obstacle will be the weapon of fear wielded by the entrenched interests of banking and the Federal Reserve, the intellectual centre of the banking cartel. These fiat money-mongers will rely on generating fear of the consequences of silver money so that they can maintain their huge fraud of fiat money FRNs; the Fed and the “Too Big to Fail” Banks are deathly afraid of the competition of silver. They know that the slightest crack in their monopoly of issuing fiat money will expose their scheme.

The Fed and the banking system will without doubt claim that “silver money is very costly”, but they will certainly not mention that the American people will fall over themselves to acquire it and even pay a premium of 15% to the Treasury, for the blessing of owning real money. Nor will the Fed and the banking system ever mention the gigantic costs that the depreciating FRNs have inflicted upon American savers; nor will they wish to recognize that the fiat FRN and the Fed are directly responsible for the present financial and economic destruction of the once great United States of America.

Another objection which will be put forward forcefully is that what the American economy requires is more spending on the part of the public. They will argue that more savings on the part of the American people spells doom for the economy: “More drink for the drunkard” is essential, according to the prevailing Keynesian thinking.

However, the humbug wizard has already been exposed and the Fed has lost its prestige forever. Toto has drawn the curtain! The State of Utah has already voiced its dissatisfaction with the present monetary system, by legislating in favor of gold and silver as legal tender money. If this project - monetizing the silver dollar by the Treasury’s giving it a numeric monetary value in FRNs, which immediately places it alongside the Federal Reserve Note as money – if this project comes to the notice of the several States of the Union, they together may force the issue.

The present policy is to “kick the can down the road” and postpone the final reckoning. But, the end of the road is already in sight! The condition is one of utter helplessness. The re-monetization of the silver dollar is the first step toward regaining health for the economy of America. Paper, fiat money will probably remain in use for some time, but the presence of the monetized silver dollar will force the Federal Reserve, the banking system and the US Government itself, to a more prudent financial course. It will be possible to regain financial health, because an alternative is available. Savings, the foundation of prosperity, will bloom as Americans opt for massive voluntary austerity by saving monetized silver dollars, half-dollars, quarters and dimes.

The banking system in the United States will be anxious to receive the massive savings in silver of the American people as deposits, but this will only be possible when the price of silver bullion has stabilized. Thus, the American people will have the upper hand; they will bend the banking system to their will by refusing to deposit their silver in the banks and thus force the banking system to reform itself to prudent monetary practice and desist from inflating by expanding credit out of nothing. After a stabilization of the banking system, the way would be open to a resumption of the Gold Standard.

Americans are today caught in a financial calamity with no parallel in history. They are being told this every day by every medium of communication. But they watch their crumbling economy in utter paralysis, because there is no alternative to which they may turn. The whole world is a mirror of their plight.

The restoration of the silver currency of the United States of America by the very simple procedure outlined here can provide the life-saving alternative. There is, at present, no other practical proposal for a viable action in the field of money. Perhaps there can be no other practical proposal? Perhaps a return to silver money is the only path out of the present crisis of civilization?

Let us hope that a political leader in the United States understands this message. The popular appeal of silver is universal; “silver shoes” will take that leader far – and the American people will follow him on that road!

Other Articles      

Road To Roota Theory
Bix Weir


Silver Money For Americans

Hugo Salinas Price

 

Next Leg Up for Silver Could Take it To $65-$75
David Morgan

 

Silver To Go Nuts
Bill Murphy

 

11 Mentality Shifts of Silver Investors

Silver Shield

 

5 Stages of the Awakening

Silver Shield

 

Get Out Of ALL Paper Assets and Into REAL Assets

Silver Shield

 

 

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Gold Rush 21
GATA Conference

GATA Gold Rush #1

GATA Gold Rush #2

GATA Gold Rush #3

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Silver and Industrial Demand - Part I by Jeff Lewis
Issue 92
Today's Gold/Silver Ratio: 42/1 Dn

Issue 115

Gold: $1545.70/ Silver: $36.67

SGS Notes: This week's article was too long for one newsletter, so we've split it up into 2 parts. This week will deal with historical and established silver demand; Part 2 will deal with Future Trends and silver's role in them. Meanwhile, if you haven't been watching silver and gold prices lately, you'll note that in the past week, we've seen a rise again in silver from the $34 range to the $36 range, and gold from the $1490s to the mid $1500 range and a drop of the gold:silver ratio of 2 points...

 

Silver and Industrial Demand - Part I

Jeff Lewis

I. Introduction

As you know, silver is much more than just a form of money. Although not often discussed in great detail, silver is actually an incredibly important and strategic industrial commodity. In fact, demand for silver by industry has increased dramatically in recent years and shows no signs of slowing despite price fluctuations.

Silver's incredible versatility - as a conductor, a catalyst, an antibacterial agent and much more - and unrealistically low prices have made it ideal for use in a huge number of products spanning countless manufacturing sectors. And the continued (relative) affordability of this super-metal points to dramatically increased demand in coming years.

As silver investors and educators, we feel that understanding silver's tremendous role(s) in industry (along side its importance as a store of wealth) is critical to understanding its past, present and future value. In fact, we are confident that you will find the insight and knowledge gained to be crucial for maintaining perspective as we head through the upcoming currency storm.

Ironically, if not miraculously, we find ourselves at the cutting edge of technology, while simultaneously, re-aligning with what also happens to be an excellent, proven, and historic form of wealth preservation - and money. Not to mention it is becoming increasingly scarce!

To broaden your understanding of silver's industrial applications, we're examining past and current industrial demand and looking forward toward what is expected to be a very bright future for this powerful and increasingly rare metal.

Growing Industrial Demand

As recently as 1990, total annual demand for silver by industry was about 273 million ounces (Moz). This represented about 39 percent of the total amount of silver fabricated each year. By 2000, industrial demand represented over 40 percent of total fabrication. And as of 2007, it had climbed to an all-time high of 465 Moz annually - or 55 percent of total fabrication - where, despite a downturn related to the global economic crisis that began in 2008, it is approximately today.

This upward trend is expected to continue, with annual industrial silver consumption growing from about 487 Moz in 2010 to approximately 666 Moz in 2015. This increase in demand will come from growth in both long-established industrial uses of silver and some intriguing new applications.

Established Industrial Applications

Silver's superiority as an electrical conductor makes it ideally suited for use in batteries and electrical contacts. Silver is used widely in automobiles (the list of core automotive applications is growing) and, in the form of a highly conductive paste, in photovoltaic cells. Photovoltaic cells - which convert solar energy into electricity - are already in great demand as concerns about dwindling fossil-fuel supplies grow. Photovoltaics also promises to play a key role in the drive toward clean energy sources in coming years. In fact, silver demand for use in photovoltaic cells is expected to double by 2015.

Emerging Industrial Applications

Thanks to silver's unmatched conductivity and relative affordability, it has become a critical element in the manufacture of a great variety of electronic devices - many of which have become important (and largely taken for granted) parts of our daily lives. Because silver-containing batteries manage energy output in very small packages, they are widely used in smart phones, laptops, and tablets, demand for which seems to be virtually limitless.

Other new applications capitalize on silver's powerful antibacterial properties. Silver-bearing products ranging from socks to cosmetics are appearing on the market with increasing frequency.

Because, in many of its industrial applications, silver performs much better than its possible replacements (if they exist), industry shows little interest in moving away from it toward less expensive or more abundant materials. So long as silver continues to be relatively inexpensive, and consumers don't lose their appetites for silver-containing products - which doesn't seem likely - industrial demand for silver will continue to grow.

 

Quote of the Week                               


Other Articles      

BullionVault.com Runs Out Of Silver In Germany

Zerohedge

 

Paper Markets Are A Joke: Prepare for Bullion Prices to Go Supernova

Chris Martensen & Eric Sprott

 

Sound Money Goes National

 

Gold and Silver as Money: Reasons and Relevance Today

 

Central Banks Buying Gold - Shouldn't you?

 

Silver: It's All About Inventories

Jeff Nielson

 

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The Final Fight ~ Silver Shield
May 7 , 2011
Issue 92
Today's Gold/Silver Ratio: 42/1 Up

Issue 107

Gold: $1500.70/ Silver: $35.85

SGS Notes: :Yes, silver took it on the chin this week. What we have seen in the dramatic price drop for silver and gold has been a carefully orchestrated manipulation of prices by some powerful folks in high places… If you have been following the SGS newsletter for very long, you would know that we've been reporting on this faithfully from the beginning. It's been going on for several years now… and with all the exposé going on by some honest and persistent men in the industry, the fire is heating up under this issue. So this week I am devoting the newsletter to the various commentaries from these people who have reported the truth about what's happening. There's a lot to 'feast on' this week.

This is NOT a normal 'market correction' as some would have us think…Remember that investing in physical silver and gold is not the same as paper … yet the dynamics in paper have a dramatic effect on physical. (Also noteworthy this week… huge difference in Gold:Silver ratio… last week was 32:1

Bear in mind, that all of manipulation forcing prices downward have long-term effects on this market beyond the prices… it creates a disincentive for mines to produce and refine silver… a disincentive for research & development on new sources for silver. Consequently, there is a very real shortage of phyical metals in the market…

And, again, the warning is issue repeatedly: Hold on for the Long Haul. This is NOT the time to SELL… it is the time to ACQUIRE.

Silver Shield: The Final Fight

This is the final fight of physical and paper silver, so hold the line and get ready to take it to the enemy. The Elite have literally thrown everything they have at the silver markets to try to make silver investors weak in the knees and cry uncle. Like a bully trying to take your lunch money by twisting your arm.

This can only end one of two ways; you give up and the banksters laugh or you stand up and say enough! These tactics may work on some paper traders who are literally forced by margin calls. For those who have listened to me, and bought only physical, this recent manipulation is only a subsidized discount to buy more, for less.

The CME has raised the margin requirements an unprecedented 5 times in less than 2 weeks to force higher and higher costs on paper traders to force them to sell. The higher the costs and the lower the price of the underlying asset is a toxic combination in the paper market.

I saw this happen in the 2008 rout, where they took it down 60% in a matter of months. It was the worst time to be a silver holder, but I knew the real story and held on when everything in the world said get out. I held on and even added to my position to then see a return of close to 500% in the next 2 years.

Read Entire Article Here


Collusion by Fed Officials and Commodity Exchange Heads Has Its Intended Effect
Trader Dan


I find it amazing how effectively these people can coordinate their policies with the heads of the commodity exchanges and their pals at the big banks who are perennial shorts in the markets and have now managed to pluck the money out of hundreds of thousands of commodity trading accounts enriching the big banks (government sponsored hedge funds) in the process. Nothing like a freely operating financial system where the playing field is completely level and no one has an advantage over the next guy!

By their continued hiking of silver margins, the exchange effectively removed the liquidity in the silver market that the smaller specs have been providing. That left the market vulnerable to severe drops in price as these specs exited due to financial constraints which then removed a source of potential bids under the market as the CFTC commitments report has shown the small specs to be good buyers in the silver market. Even the bigger hedge funds are impacted by such a sharp hike in margins as their losses in silver then precipitate even more losses across other assorted commodity markets due to the cascading effect of mounting paper losses and margin calls and the need to raise cash.


As the silver market tanked the exchange officials could then warn about Clearinghouse integrity and have more reasons to drive margins even higher as they point to the increased volatility, volatility which I might add, they created themselves by hiking margins to such an extreme degree.
Read Full Article Here

 

Quote of the Week                               

A Few Notes...      

 

Some things we are seeing as the market demand is increasing…and things which have an impact on our customers…

  • Longer wait times for our inventory orders

  • Higher Premiums, especially for Silver Eagles

  • Product sell-out (from our suppliers)
Rest assured, however, that we are doing our utmost to get products out the door to YOU and will continue to provide you with the best service possible.

 


Honoring All Our Mothers…

 

Other Articles      

It Was All A COMEX Affair
Ed Steer

I Smell BS In The Silver Markets
Silver Shield

The End of OZ
Bix Weir

Where Did Silver Come From & Where Is It Going?


Julian Phillips

Real Reason for NATO Attack on Libya

Nixonomics at the New York Times
Gary North

Gold and Silver Storm The Fed


Darryl Robert Schoon

Gold and Silver To Explode Again


John Hathaway

Short Term Volatility but Silver will Zig Zag to $100
Paul Mladjenovic

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Interview With
Adrian Douglas
Part 1

Adrian Douglas is a Director of the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee (GATA) and editor of the Market Force Analysis Letter
Part 2

Fractionals Are Back

 

 

We have brought back the silver fractional rounds…
½ oz, ¼ oz and now 1/10 oz
.999 Fine silver rounds are now available for purchase.

Does SGS
BUY BACK Silver?


We get inquiries about this all the time… Our answer is a qualified 'Yes'.
We are purchasing inventory replacement all the time. Consequently, timing is everything.

Customers have first priority over our vendors.
So, while we don't recommend selling at this time… we understand that circumstances sometimes dictate liquidation.

Don't hesitate to call and ask us if you need to liquidate some of your holdings.


 

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The Reason Silver Has Been Rising Faster Than Gold
April30 , 2011
Issue 92
Today's Gold/Silver Ratio: 32/1 (same)

Issue 106

Gold: $1513.50/ Silver: $46.86

SGS Notes: The crazy ride continued this week…the week began Monay with a sharp rise from $46.86 to$47.88, then Tuesday spike up into the high $49s… closely pressing the $50 threshhold…then back down by end of day to just over $45. By Wednesday night, the price was back to the mid $48 level, continuing strongly in that range until close of week Friday night. The ratio has remained constant at 32/1… but we've also seen Gold do a huge $58 spike this week. The dollar went to 73.2 in the wake of the S&P downgrading the US credit rating down to C - lower than Mexico… We've had several inquiries this week about whether silver is still a good buy at $50+… This week's newsletter will be addressing that…

Psst! Letting you in on a little 'secret'… if you watch our Facebook page for SGS, (see link at right) you will see a flurry of activity of postings on Fri/Sat … this is because we post a lot of articles and links that we come across while preparing for the Newsletter, but 'reject' for newsletter publication… lots more extra stuff there, folks!

The Reason Silver Has Been Rising Faster Than Gold
Analysis of the different advance which has occurred in the silver price vis-à-vis gold in the past few months where the former has substantially outperformed the latter.
Author: Julian Phillips, MineWeb

Silver is breaking new records at around $40 and gold is touching new highs of close to $1,460. Looking back, over the past few years we have seen gold rise from around $312 to $1,460 a rise of 4.68 times and silver from around $6 to $40 a rise of 6.67 times.

But this does not give a clear picture, so we went back over the last year and what did we see? Since early 2009, gold has moved from $900 to $1,460, a respectable 62%. Over the same period silver has moved from $10 to nearly $40 a remarkable 400%. Why the difference in relative performance?

Both metals have moved as money. Gold and silver Exchange Traded Funds have attracted massive investments in the developed world where trust in the monetary system is far higher than it is in the emerging world. But it was the underlying gold and silver that attracted investors. Waning confidence in the value of paper currencies gave way to demand for precious metals as a store of value retainers for investors.

Gold and silver have substantial differences as value retainers which help us to identify why the two metals have differed so much in performance.

Gold is and has always been the 'senior' monetary metal held by Central Banks as money until 1971 and after that as a valuable reserve asset in the vaults of central banks.
Silver was rejected as money and as a reserve asset by the mid-fifties, despite it being treated as money throughout the ages before that.

Both gold and silver have been attacked as money through 'official' sales from the seventies until last year. But gold was sold to undermine the reality that it is money. Silver was sold out from reserves almost completely by central banks discarding it as money, completely.

Apart from a brief period when Egypt was at its height and supplies of silver less than those of gold, gold has always been in far shorter supply than silver and considered far more valuable than silver.

Silver in the past few decades has been seen as a commodity, mined mainly as a by-product of base metal mining, with only 30% mined in a pure silver mine.

Most silver is consumed whereas gold is not, which will continue to be the case until less expensive substitutes are found. This will only happen at far higher prices still.

GOLD AS AN INVESTMENT

Gold has always been the precious metal of choice for wealthy individuals, institutions and central banks. It has never been abandoned as such. Even when "Official" selling was at its peak, central banks sold only what they thought was sufficient to add credibility to the paper currency they were pushing to the centre of the system, first to add credibility to the dollar then after 1999 to the euro. With those tasks completed, Central Banks are now either holders or buyers of gold.

The amount sold in most cases was around 20%, but in the case of the uninspired then-Chancellor Brown of the U.K.'s case, half of Britain's reserves were sold. The largest holders of gold sold none or only small amounts. So while it was underpriced and we believe still is, did not see its price 'crushed' completely.

The path back to investment acceptance is a slow one and a long one with most of the journey still to come. We believe that we are on the brink of major changes in price levels in 2011 and beyond.

SILVER AS AN INVESTMENT

Silver had not really been an investment metal until 2004 and not a significant one until 2009.

It was a commodity metal in so short a supply that the Hunt brothers of Texas felt they could corner the market. In 1979, they took the silver price from its high of $8 an ounce [it had doubled since it stood at $4 an ounce in the mid- 1970s' already] to $50 an ounce by the early 1980's. It then fell all the way back to $5 an ounce thereafter as the Hunt Brothers found they were unable to sell the silver until prices had fallen back to those levels where they stayed until October 2003. Until 2009, it was relegated to the sidelines as an investment metal.

It started to regain popularity as an investment metal because it began to be considered as "poor man's gold" as the gold price rose out of reach of the poorer investment classes.

For instance, in India until its middle classes began to grow substantially, 70% of all gold bought was bought by the agricultural sector, whose income was directly related to the quality of the monsoon rains. When profits were good, they found their way into property and into gold, As the price rose, the quantity of gold available to such people fell. Then $1,500 bought five ounces of gold, but with gold at $1,460, it only buys just over 1 ounce of gold.

In India, precious metals are used in commercial transactions so the divisibility of silver relative to gold was far greater and more flexible. It also remained affordable in larger quantities. After all, now one ounce of gold buys 36.5 ounces of silver. So, silver remains affordable far lower down the economic ladder than gold does. It therefore can attract a far wider market than gold does currently at retail levels. Bearing in mind that precious metals are attracting a huge and growing market in the emerging parts of the world, the demand, as a wealth protector, at the retail end of the market is expanding rapidly.

CATCH-UP

It would therefore be wrong to still categorize silver as a monetary metal. Its day will come, but not until its price is much higher and not until paper currencies have lost considerably more credibility than at present.

The most difficult part of silver's rise as a wealth protector has been from October 2004 to October 2008, from when its price moved from $5 an ounce to a peak of over $20 an ounce then to fall back to than less $10 an ounce before taking off on its current path. The fall coincided with the onset of the 'credit-crunch.

All the while, demand from the photographic sector has waned. More importantly, the uses of silver have morphed from discretionary demand to a need. Even in a downturn, the demand for silver will remain strong as its uses are considered vital now.

So as a non-monetary, more volatile precious metal, its future then was far cloudier than now. The transition from those days to 'poor man's gold was its re-birth as an investment metal. While we believe it has now returned as such to stay, it still has a lot of catching up to do. By catching up we mean that it still has to return to the concept fully, that it is a lower category investment metal respected from institutions [eventually by central banks] as well as the retail end of the market.

Gold is already at that point. This does not mean that the gold price has reached a ceiling of any kind. It does mean that the gold price will rise relative to the value of currencies from now on with its metallic qualities being far in the background. Silver is still a long way off from that point.

Julian Phillips is a long time specialist analyst for gold and silver and is the principal contributor to the Gold Forecaster - www.goldforecaster.com - and Silver Forecaster- www.silverforecaster.com - websites and newsletters

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